Our betting expert Jones Knows provides his insight across Saturday’s Premier League action where title-chasing Liverpool and Arsenal are hunting maximum points.
Newcastle vs Bournemouth, Saturday 12.30pm
Nine wins on the spin and their centre-forward scoring 12 goals in his last nine games – things are looking glorious for Newcastle and Alexander Isak.
However, winning runs and hot streaks always come to an end and at the prices this might be the time to jump off the Newcastle train if you’re aboard it.
Unbeaten in 10 games, Bournemouth remain an underrated team by the markets and to get them odds-against here at 5/4 with Sky Bet on the double chance is too good to pass up.
SCORE PREDICTION: 1-1
Brentford vs Liverpool, Saturday 3pm – PLAY SUPER 6 HERE!
Brentford’s style of play does lend itself to soaking up pressure and their shots faced numbers are always higher than what you’d expect from a team competing in mid-table.
Only Southampton have faced more shots this season than the Bees (376). This opens up betting opportunities in the player shots markets for Liverpool and Trent Alexander-Arnold has a fine record in that regard against Brentford.
He’s had 11 shots in his six meetings with Thomas Frank’s team in the Premier League, posting two or more shots in four of those matches whilst his overall shots average of 1.7 per game in the last 15 across all competitions is very healthy.
The 11/10 with Sky Bet for him to register two or more shots does look generous.
SCORE PREDICTION: 1-3
Leicester vs Fulham, Saturday 3pm – PLAY SUPER 6 HERE!
When you have one of the most creative players in the division coming up against a team that don’t know how to defend their box, punters should be getting excited.
And that’s the case here with Antonee Robinson’s assist price of 4/1 with Sky Bet.
Fulham’s rampaging full-back took his tally to nine assists for the season with his assist double at West Ham – only Bukayo Saka (10) and Mohamed Salah (13) have recorded more now. Getting Robinson into dangerous positions down that left flank is a clear tactic from Marco Silva as shown by the American’s 103 open play crosses this season – 19 more than any other player in the league.
Meanwhile, Leicester have shipped 20 goals in their last eight games, conceding two or more in each of those. Robinson will create multiple chances.
SCORE PREDICTION: 1-3
Antonee Robinson is 4/1 for an assist with Sky Bet
West Ham vs Crystal Palace, Saturday 3pm – PLAY SUPER 6 HERE!
West Ham’s terrible defence is the biggest challenge facing Graham Potter.
Across their last 40 Premier League games, West Ham have conceded a per game average of 2.13 goals – the worst record of any ever-present Premier League team in that timeframe. There haven’t been any signs of improvement on that front in Potter’s first two games where the Hammers have conceded four goals and 4.63 worth of expected goals against.
With Palace in good form, losing just one of their last 10 and winning three of their last four on the road, backing a goalscorer for them makes appeal and Daniel Munoz at 9/1 with Sky Bet looks overpriced. He’s always making aggressive runs into the box from the right and did find the net recently against both Newcastle and Manchester City.
SCORE PREDICTION: 1-2
Arsenal vs Aston Villa, Saturday 5.30pm, live on Sky Sports – PLAY SUPER 6 HERE!
Arsenal vs Aston Villa, live on Sky Sports
There were huge Ashley Cole vibes about Myles Lewis-Skelly against Tottenham – he knocked my socks off with his performance. He is a freak. At just 18-years-old he relished the north London derby occasion and played well above his years.
No player made more tackles for Arsenal (4), won possession more times (6) and had a higher passing accuracy (93.8 per cent) than Lewis-Skelly as the statistics backed up the visuals.
But a betting angle that continues to draw me in is his ability to draw fouls. He plays with a very streetwise nature and is happy to initiate contact and hit the deck to get himself out of a sticky situation.
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FREE TO WATCH: Highlights from Arsenal’s match against Tottenham in the Premier League.
In his eight starts he’s drawn 18 fouls, putting him above the two fouls drawn per game average and the visual of his performances back up the data that he’s going to be a great player to back in the to be fouled market. You can get 11/8 with Sky Bet on him drawing two or more fouls which looks a very interesting angle in what should be another gritty home win for the Gunners.
SCORE PREDICTION: 2-1
Jones Knows’ best bets…
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